Posted by
Sunny on Thursday, October 12, 2006 2:59:03 PM
Tehran Convenes War Council Meeting
According to the website Baztab, which is controlled by the Revolutionary Guards, headquarted in Bandar Abbas on the Persian Gulf, "...the United States is gaining positions in the sea and countries close to Iran in case the Pentagon wants to launch an attack on the Islamic Republic."
Tehran suspects the Pentagon has already drafted plans to attack Iran's nuclear installations and military bases by sea-air. Baztab continued, "If the presence of US Navy ships in the Persian Gulf turned into a real threat on the Islamic Republic then the region's oil pipeline would explode, as would mines in the Hormuz Strait, when oil tankers pass through so as to make the price of oil double or triple. "
There are reports that at the time of the Eisenhower's arrival another aircraft carrier, the USS Enterprise, will also be near Iran's coast. But ever since U. S. President George W. Bush began discussing an attack on Iran as an "option on the table" two years ago, Iran's Defense Ministry stated they would not let the U. S. attack first. Earlier this year the news reported Iranian military maneuvers in the Persian Gulf and in mid - August Iran began five weeks of wargames, involving almost their entire military, including some of its latest technology. The maneuvers just ended three weeks ago and I stated at the time Iran's military would not be idle for long.
I cannot see Tehran waiting for the Eisenhower and Enterprise to arrive before Iran attacks U.S. bases in the Persian Gulf. As the bases are attacked Tehran could have Hezbollah start the next wave of fighting against Israel and this time Damascus - Tehran will join it. That could prevent Israel and the U. S. from conducting combined operations. European units in UNIFIL and their naval ships in support of them, could also come under fire as Tehran has militia groups in Iraq concentrate more of their attention on US/UK occupation forces in Iraq.
They may also direct al-Qaeda, from their bases in the Sinai Peninsula, to attack shipping in the Suez Canal, which would also have a direct impact on the price of crude oil. Tehran may then decide to test the accuracy of their longer range missiles. In an attempt to disrupt any potential military cooperation between Delhi and Washington, Tehran could have Islamic militant units in Kashmir increase their attacks against Indian forces there, which would cause India to use its "hot pursuit" policy and follow them into the part of Kashmir controlled by Pakistan, setting off the fourth war between them.
By the time the Eisenhower and Enterprise arrive they may first have to engage Iran's naval and air forces.
O'boy. Also sharing the same mind are:
It Is Possible to Stop War with Iran
Dave Lindorff: Iran Attack Looks More Likely as Eisenhower Carrier Group Sails for Iran Theater
But the Huff and Lindorff both believe the "looming" attack is an election ploy. Perhaps Rove's October Surprise. Whatever agenda is playing out here, having our ships so close as to make Iran nervous is interesting. I guess we'll find out in a week just how interesting.